Tuesday, June 30, 2015

The GOP, shocked and maybe awed

While it worked, for more than thirty years in fact, the Republican political strategy of divisiveness—the use of "wedge issues," to pit social, racial, religious and political groups against each other in order to gain political advantage—worked quite well.

Southern white voters abandoned the Democrats in favor of the Republicans, even if they brought brought with them their dirty linen of racial prejudices.

Then came the posse of evangelical preachers, the Moral Majority, who couldn't tire of bashing gays, feminists, and other infidels. The passage of state constitutional amendments banning gay marriage became routine.

White America felt righteous about its righteousness, and the GOP thought it had a winning hand.

It all worked well until last week, when those venomous strategies blew up, with a big assist from the U.S. Supreme Court. Presidential candidate Donald Trump's hair really seemed to be on fire.

Yet the growing and previously loud choir of GOP presidential candidates—from the real-shots to the you've-got-to-be-kidding's—mostly mumbled their shock at the implosion of some of the GOP's cherished causes.

To top it off, Bristol Palin, former ambassador of sexual abstinence and daughter of vice-presidential candidate Sarah Palin (Let us now pray: "There but for the grace of God go we...") revealed that she was pregnant, out of wedlock and for the second time, daddy to be announced later. Tell you, the Republican morality universe is going to hell.

Republican strategists should view this as a warning flag. 
But even before the U.S. Supreme Court, all in one amazing week, upheld Obamacare, marriage equality, and lawsuits to fight housing discrimination, the foundations of the GOP's divide-and-conquer strategy were already faltering.

An attempt to pass a Religious Freedom Restoration Act in Indiana, which was denounced by several corporate leaders and even the NCAA, as a rear-guard play to legitimize discrimination against gays, sent Gov. Mike Pence into fits of double- and triple-talking, as he supported the law, denied it had to do with discrimination against gays, but then promised to revise the language, just to clarify everything.

While House Republicans kept voting to repeal Obamacare—at least fifty-six times—and offering nothing to alleviate the plight of the medically uninsured, millions of people quietly signed up for the program, which admittedly had a very unpromising launch.

The first substantive legal challenge to Obamacare was turned back by the Supreme Court, so the GOP filed another challenge, based on six words that seemed to contradict the other million words in the mammoth law. Didn't work again.

But the most significant shift in public opinion may have been on the topic of race, even if we're still far, far away from the racism-free American utopia some Fox News pundits have trumpeted.

The protagonist in this shift was the tiny camera in smart phones, which bystanders used, time and again, to document egregious acts of brutality, mostly by white cops against African-American victims. It was like a mirror America could not turn away from.

Then came the massacre of nine people at a black Charleston, South Carolina, church by a white punk with fantasies of starting a race war.

Suddenly the stench of racism in the country could be not be ignored, nor the Confederate flag blandly dismissed as just a symbol of Southern history.

Even at that tragic juncture, the response of most GOP presidential candidates was muffled by fears of offending the all-important Southern white voters. Jeb Bush finally denounced the flag as a racist icon.

Still, this blizzard of bad news, and ominous warnings, could become epiphanic if it led the GOP to rethink its strategies.

Americans, particularly younger ones, favor marriage equality for gays and lesbians by wide margins, and all the GOP preachers and their denunciations are not going to change that. If the GOP can't muster a round of applause for gay marriage, grudging acceptance might have to do.

Obamacare is here to stay too. Perhaps a well thought-out campaign to change the parts of the law Republicans find offensive—instead of futilely braying about repeal—could help the GOP regain the respect of scores of voters tired with the party's negativism.

Of course, Republicans would run the risk of improving a law they have spent so much time trying to destroy. That would be ironic, I grant you. Except that, remember, Obamacare is here to stay. Nothing you can do it about it, so let's try fixing it.

Immigration? Let's talk about Trump's revelations of Mexican rapists and narco-traffickers being sent to the U.S. by the tens of thousands. The reaction to such idiocy came from all corners and fast, and ultimately even embroiled the Miss Universe pageant.

The GOP beating up on immigrants, or Mexican-bashing if you will, a policy that may have once serenaded the ears of angry whites in the party, is now a toxic strategy.

Racism, an ugly national vein the GOP repeatedly, and not-so-subtly, tapped as it tried to destroy the administration of America's first black president, will remain a reality for generations to come.

But I would like to dream the conciliatory moves by some Southern Republicans, including South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, over the Confederate flag debate, could be a sign of reflection, and even an admission that times are a' changing.

Long shot, but worth fantasizing about.

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On today's Washington Post, George Will, no liberal he, talks about how Republicans are becoming unhinged about the issue of gay marriage.


















4 comments:

  1. Right on, man!!! If the Republicans actually did what they say -- fiscal responsibility, individual liberty, and a level economic playing field -- they might be worth voting for. But instead, they have diligently followed the policies that you outline, and those policies will probably keep them from the White House for some time to come.

    Perhaps unfortunately, they now hold a majority of state governorships and many local positions, as well as the Congress. Yet at the state level, they are no where near as pernicious as they are federally. Take Massachusetts. We recently elected a Republican governor who'd surely be branded a RINO by the Republican talking heads. He's got a gay brother, supports gay marriage, wants to improve early education, is working on a state plan to reduce opiate addiction, and is wildly popular in one of the bluest states. Yet he isn't going to take guff from the unions, and is in the process of gaining more control over the excessively unionized MBTA.

    If there were more Republicans like him, we'd have some real choices in this country.

    And, as you note, the demographic tide is steadily running against the Republican "base." The national Republican party will have to change or become irrelevant.

    Saludos,

    Kim G
    DF, México
    Where we've greeted the Supreme Court's decision on gay marriage with glee. Now if we could only find someone to marry...

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    1. I keep thinking the tide is running against the GOP's strategies of intolerance, that Americans are better than that, etc. But then the Republicans turn around and grab the Senate. Right now I worry about the delicate balance in the Supreme Court, with Ginzburg and Breyer being so old (but so is Scalia, I guess).

      al

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  2. We are a diverse lot. The Republican Party is a huge tent. There is room for all. We do not have to follow the party line. The essence of conservatism is that everyone gets to make up their own minds about issues.

    There are probably as many opinions on issues as there are Republicans.

    Some of us are religious, and some are not. Some of us are financially successful, and some of us are not. Some care about gay marriage, but most of us couldn't care less. Do what works for you.

    What we are concerned about is the national debt and excessive spending, stifling government regulation and a stunted economy. People need jobs, and by that I mean real, productive jobs. Not government sinecures.

    About half of the people in this country don't pay income taxes. They say they do, but then they file and get everything back. Some even get the earned income credit.

    Those that do pay taxes are stressed. They need tax relief, but those that don't pay taxes want more social welfare spending. We are running out of the wealthy to tax.

    The day that the government cannot or will not fund those EBT cards, things will come apart. Such a large portion of the nation has become addicted to the opium of social welfare, I sure wouldn't want to be any where near a Walmart on that fateful day.

    If you are concerned about the trajectory of the Republican Party, you cannot change or alter it from the outside. You have to be in it to change it.

    In other matters, how are the new hearing aids working?

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  3. I'm glad you're such an open-minded Republican. Maybe you should run for President; just about everyone and their cat is, and it would be nice to have someone express your views.

    The closest to your views may be Rand Paul; at least he recognizes that one stressor on the federal budget are multi-trillion-dollar foreign adventures, such as Iraq, and the U.S.'s imperial military budget. He also doesn't roll his eyes and express his religious faith every other day.

    Some of your assertions are pretty astounding, but you're entitled.

    "Those that do pay taxes are stressed. They need tax relief, but those that don't pay taxes want more social welfare spending. We are running out of the wealthy to tax." I think instead the growing income inequality in the U.S., the so called dumb-bell economy, paints a different picture.

    Anyway, my hearing aids are working OK though it's taking a while to get used to them, and even now I don't wear them all the time. I'll be sure to have them on if you have a Fourth of July speech planned. LOL

    Say hello to Larry.

    BTW check out George Will's column in today's Washington Post.

    ReplyDelete